Two New Exchange Traded Funds Allow Unique Oil Investment Strategies

September 7, 2008

Investors can now track the price of oil futures without buying oil futures through a new Exchange Traded Fund. (UCR), operated by Claymore Securities. The thing that makes this unique is that the ETF does not invest in the futures either. Were not buying oil, but because we issue shares in pairs we can generate returns by pledging assets between the matching funds, said Greg Drake, managing director at Claymore Securities, in an interview.
In other words, promising assets between the pair alters the ETFs share prices to synthetically reflect oils movement. This makes it a lot easier for investors who would normally not go anywhere the futures market to get exposure to oil prices in their portfolio.

Think oil prices are going to drop? Well Claymore has you covered there too. Claymore also operates a fund (DCR) that is designed to provide positive returns to investors when the price of oil is falling. Using these two funds, investors have a number of ways to invest in oil prices and devise their own hedging strategies.

The fund trades in MacroShares. The MacroShares have a maturity of 20 years from the original offering date, but as with all ETFs investors can sell their shares throughout the trading day. If the shares move 85% away from their initial prices in either direction for three straight trading days, a termination is triggered. The shares then would distribute all assets back to shareholders at the end of the quarter, and Claymore would issue a new pair.

Therefore, investors in the Claymore MacroShares could lose most or all of their initial investment if oil prices move dramatically against them. How likely is this? If the initial shares were offered at $60 a barrel, that means oil prices over a period of 3 days would have to move about $51 up or down away the $60 buying price. Yes it is possible, but very unlikely.

How Are these Shares Different From Their Competitors?

The Claymore MacroShares are structured very differently from other oil-linked ETFs on the market such as U.S. Oil Trust (USO) which invests in oil futures and rolls the contracts to maintain exposure.

Barclays Global Investors manages an exchange-traded note called iPath Goldman Sachs Crude Oil Total Return ETN (OIL).

PowerShares Dynamic Oil & Gas Services Portfolio (PXJ) invests in shares of publicly traded energy companies.

Commodity ETFs that use futures, such as U.S. Oil Trust, can produce either positive or negative roll return based on the relationship between spot prices and longer-dated futures contracts. Any capital gains are passed to investors and are taxed as 60% long-term gains and 40% short-term gains.
Sometimes, futures prices are lower than the spot price for a commodity, a condition known as backwardation. In the opposite situation, called contango, investors experience a negative roll yield because futures prices are higher than spot prices.
Claymore said its MacroShares wont experience either situation because they synthetically provide exposure to oil prices by pledging assets, and dont use futures.

So investors can invest in Claymore MacroShares by themselves or use Claymore with one of the other funds to create a hedge.

The options for investors are becoming greater and greater but the complexities are also increasing. Investors should become familiar with the vehicle they are investing in before money is committed. As ETFs move more and more into the commodity based areas, investors will have investment options never open to the middle of the road investor before.

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